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NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (NECB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 EPS was $0.80 basic and $0.78 diluted; net income was $10.6M. Net interest margin compressed to 5.11% and the efficiency ratio rose to 41.64%, reflecting higher average interest-bearing liabilities and lower asset yields .
  • Asset quality remained strong: no non-accrual loans; non-performing assets were 0.26% of total assets, consisting entirely of two foreclosed properties (Bronx $4.4M; Pittsburgh $0.8M) .
  • Deposits fell $84.4M QoQ as management “called” higher-rate brokered CDs; mix shifted toward higher-yield money market accounts, while total assets declined $76.2M QoQ to $1.93B .
  • Dividend increased to $0.20/share (from $0.15), signaling confidence in capital and earnings power; Tier 1 leverage ratio was 15.09% and total risk-based capital 15.10% .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, Q1 2025 Primary EPS of $0.7633* modestly missed the $0.77* mean; revenue estimate was unavailable for Q1, but Q4 2024 saw an EPS beat and a revenue miss versus consensus*.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong asset quality and conservative underwriting: no non-performing loans; allowance for credit losses increased to 0.30% of total loans; NPA/Assets stable at 0.26% .
  • Loan demand and origination momentum: $170.1M of new loans in Q1 (construction $110.2M, multi-family $49.1M, C&I $10.1M; mixed-use $0.7M) with staged construction disbursements (38.4% at closing) .
  • Management emphasis on core focus: “construction lending in high demand-high absorption areas continues to be our focus,” indicating disciplined growth in target geographies .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression and efficiency deterioration: NIM fell to 5.11% (from 5.29% in Q4 and 5.68% in Q3) and efficiency ratio increased to 41.64% due to asset yield decline outpacing cost of funds reductions and higher operating expenses .
  • Deposit outflows and funding mix: total deposits down 5.1% QoQ; certificates of deposit fell $125.1M, partly by design (calling higher-rate brokered CDs), with offsetting increases in money market accounts (+$45.9M) .
  • Net interest income down sequentially: $24.3M in Q1 vs $25.3M in Q4 and $26.3M in Q3 as higher average interest-bearing liabilities and lower asset yields pressured spreads .

Financial Results

Quarterly Comparison: Core Financials and Ratios

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Income ($M)$12.686 $10.933 $10.567
EPS (Basic) ($)$0.97 $0.83 $0.80
EPS (Diluted) ($)$0.95 $0.80 $0.78
Net Interest Income ($M)$26.286 $25.298 $24.264
Non-Interest Income ($M)$1.349 $0.149 $1.235
Net Interest Margin (%)5.68% 5.29% 5.11%
Efficiency Ratio (%)36.04% 38.99% 41.64%
ROA (%)2.62% 2.19% 2.12%
ROE (%)16.48% 13.80% 12.98%
Total Assets ($B)$1.968 $2.010 $1.933
Total Deposits ($B)$1.628 $1.670 $1.586
NPA / Assets (%)0.27% 0.25% 0.26%

S&P Global Consensus vs Actuals

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)$0.91*$0.82*$0.77*
Primary EPS Actual ($)$0.9161*$0.8326*$0.7633*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($M)N/A*$26.453*N/A*
Revenue Actual ($M)$27.530*$24.421*$25.262*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Loan Portfolio Composition

Loan Category ($M)Dec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025
One-to-Four Family$3.472 $3.436
Multi-Family$206.606 $253.018
Mixed-Use$26.571 $26.572
Total Residential RE$236.649 $283.026
Non-Residential RE$29.446 $29.198
Construction$1,426.167 $1,287.225
Commercial & Industrial$118.736 $123.113
Consumer$1.649 $3.102
Gross Loans$1,813.647 $1,725.664

KPIs and Capital

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025
Allowance for Credit Losses / Total Loans (%)0.27% 0.30%
Non-Performing Loans / Total Loans (%)0.00% 0.00%
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio (%)14.76% 15.09%
Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio (%)14.04% 15.10%
Equity / Assets (%)15.87% 16.92%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly Dividend per ShareQ2 2025 payable (declared in Q1)$0.15 (Dec 19, 2024) $0.20 (Mar 20, 2025) Raised
Revenue/Margins/OpExFY/QuarterNot providedNot providedMaintained (no guidance)

No explicit financial guidance was issued for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or segments in Q1 2025 filings and press releases .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was found; themes derived from press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Interest Rate/Margin DynamicsNIM decline due to higher cost of funds; asset yields impacted by late-2024 rate decreases NIM further compressed; asset yield decline outpaced cost of funds reduction Deteriorating margin, stabilizing cost of funds
Deposit Strategy/Funding MixShift to CDs and money market, paydown of borrowings; competitive rates to attract deposits Reduced brokered CDs via “calling” higher-rate deposits; increase in money market balances Proactive cost-of-funds management
Construction Lending FocusContinued core focus in high absorption areas; strong commitments Reaffirmed focus; $110.2M originated; staged funding reduces immediate balance sheet impact Sustained strategic emphasis
Asset QualityForeclosure resolved prior NPLs; NPA/Assets ~0.25–0.27% No non-accrual loans; NPA/Assets 0.26% Stable and strong
Capital & Shareholder ReturnsWell-capitalized; ongoing buybacks Dividend raised; capital ratios improved QoQ Positive capital trajectory

Management Commentary

  • “We are, once again, pleased to report another quarter of strong earnings due to the excellent performance of our loan portfolio… As in the past, construction lending in high demand-high absorption areas continues to be our focus.” — Kenneth A. Martinek, Chairman & CEO .
  • On NIM pressure: total interest and dividend income rose modestly, but yields fell 72 bps YoY and cost of funds fell 24 bps; net interest margin decreased to 5.11% .
  • On deposits/funding: certificates of deposit decreased $125.1M; strategy included “calling” higher-rate brokered deposits; NOW/money market accounts increased $45.9M .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was filed; Q&A highlights are unavailable [ListDocuments returned none for earnings-call-transcript].

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 EPS: Primary EPS actual $0.7633* vs consensus $0.77* — slight miss (~$0.0067). Q1 revenue actual $25.262M*; consensus unavailable*.
  • Q4 2024 EPS: actual $0.8326* vs $0.82* — modest beat; revenue actual $24.421M* vs $26.453M* — miss.
  • Q3 2024 EPS: actual $0.9161* vs $0.91* — slight beat; revenue actual $27.530M*; consensus unavailable*.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin compression remains the key headwind; watch deposit cost trajectory and asset yields given management’s active strategy to reduce higher-cost brokered CDs and grow money market balances .
  • Credit quality is a differentiator: zero non-accrual loans and low NPA/Assets should support valuation resilience versus peers amid macro uncertainty .
  • Origination pipeline in construction/multi-family is robust; staged funding tempers immediate balance sheet growth but preserves future earnings potential .
  • Operating efficiency slippage (41.64%) and higher non-interest expense suggest near-term pressure on pre-provision net revenue; monitor expense discipline and fee income trends .
  • Capital strength (Tier 1 leverage 15.09%; TRBC 15.10%) plus dividend increase to $0.20 offers total-return support; buyback program remains active though not expanded this quarter .
  • Estimate setup is benign: small EPS variances vs consensus and sparse coverage (single estimate) imply limited “surprise risk,” but improvements in NIM and deposit mix are needed for upside*.
  • Near-term trading: dividend increase and strong asset quality are positives; watch funding mix updates and NIM commentary for catalysts at the next print .
Notes:
- Company figures and ratios from NECB Q1 2025 Form 8-K and press release **[1847398_0001104659-25-037348_tm2512806d1_ex99-1.htm:0]** **[1847398_0001104659-25-037348_tm2512806d1_ex99-1.htm:9]**; Q4 2024 press release/8-K **[1847398_0001104659-25-007935_tm254961d1_ex99-1.htm:10]** **[1847398_0001104659-25-007935_tm254961d1_ex99-1.htm:11]**; Q3 2024 press release/8-K **[1847398_0001104659-24-112281_tm2427012d1_ex99-1.htm:10]** **[1847398_0001104659-24-112281_tm2427012d1_ex99-1.htm:11]**.
- Dividend actions: $0.20 declared Mar 20, 2025 **[1847398_5d76c0719aca46ff8dc69bcfb946508d_0]**; prior $0.15 Dec 19, 2024 **[1847398_c40b5b38d8cc4d03a793ceafd17b0496_0]**.
- S&P Global consensus and actuals marked with * and sourced from S&P Global.